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I don't have any idea what motion pictures and performers will be honored tonight, but, now that I've caught up with the last couple of contenders in major categories (see the last two posts), I thought I'd share what I hope the winners will be.
Best Picture: The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonThere seems to be a real split of critical opinion on this picture, but it's definitely the movie I most enjoyed this past year, on both an emotional and intellectual level.
Best Director: David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonI can't think of any way that the best film wouldn't, almost automatically, imply the best direction. By the way, in both of these first two categories, I wouldn't be surprised or offended if
Slumdog Millionaire directed by Danny Boyle took the prize, as it was awfully good too.
Best Actor: Sean Penn, Milklooking back, I don't see how this movie would exist (or be so highly praised) without a dynamic performance at its center, and Penn definitely delivers. Mickey Rourke in The Wrestler is in virtually every scene of that movie and is equally strong, but I think that Penn's performance represented more of a challenge and represented the incredible versatility he has displayed throughout his career.
Best Actress: Melissa Leo, Frozen RiverI haven't actually seen this film, but of those I have seen (I also missed Anne Hathaway in
Rachel Getting Wedding) there were no great stand-outs (though I liked Meryl Streep in
Doubt). Melissa Leo was always so good in the old TV show
Homicide, that I'm pulling for her to win here.
Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger, The Dark KnightMuch as I said about Penn, this film is inconceivable without this performance (or anyway, it would have been considerably less entertaining, or even watchable).
Best Supporting Actress: Marisa Tomei, The WrestlerWhen Tomei won this category years ago for
My Cousin Vinny, a lot of people thought it was a joke, merely because she had demonstrated how to do comedy. But she's always been good in a wide variety of roles, and this would be nice validation of her true talents. I might be inclined to see Viola Davis as also deserving, if her role amounted to more than a single scene in
Doubt (though it is truly a dynamite scene).
Cinematography: Claudio Miranda, The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonEasily the best-looking film I saw all year (even critics who didn't like the picture seemed to acknowledge that).
Writing (Adapted Screenplay): Eric Roth, The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonObviously, I really like this movie.
Writing (Original Screenplay): Mike Leigh, Happy-Go-LuckyI haven't seen this yet, but I really want to (if it ever comes to Montana-- sometimes good movies don't), but Leigh has been so uniformly good for such a long time, that I want to see him rewarded. I wouldn't mind too much if Martin MacDonagh won for
In Bruges either, as that was one of the most entertaining films I saw all year.
Those are the biggies. If you read this before the ceremony, give us your picks in the comments; if after, feel free to second-guess my picks. Enjoy the show!